Mending supply-demand imbalances by creating clearer market signals
Supply-demand imbalances have been acknowledged in the wine industry since 2005-06. Despite this, the imbalance persists, “brand Australia” has been damaged, non-profitability is endemic and hope for redress seems distant.
Addressing imbalances is simple ‑ it requires markets to work. However, markets cannot work without clear market signals. In the wine industry, out-dated commercial practices distort market signals, subvert market effectiveness and get in the way of industry adjustment.
Practices for reform relate to all facets of commercial dealings – from vineyard investment to winegrape price-setting, terms of trade with wine companies and grower business decision-making.
- Winegrape price-setting needs to be based on measurable attributes that separate quality from supply/demand influences and send clear signals about requirements. Standards for objective trade measures need to be developed and promoted by industry.
- Wineries must assume their fair share of commercial risk in purchasing arrangements – this includes timely payment for fruit, not imposing yield caps and compensation when fruit is not picked at its optimum ripeness.
- Greater flexibility is required in vineyard investments – eg separating assets and operations – and there needs to be a greater obligation on banks to provide financial options that facilitate good decision-making. Costs of vineyard removal, replanting or restructuring need to be lowered.
- Investment in market information and financial benchmarking is required to support effective decision-making.
- New business models are required to replace small-scale unprofitable operations and growers need to invest in marketing and best practice business management.
- Generational change needs to be supported by assisting older growers who wish to exit, to retire.
- Commercial practices in the industry must be improved through enforcement of a Code of Conduct and better engagement of growers wishing to report bad practice.
- Government by addressing unequal market power and facilitating efficient markets.
- Industry by raising the bar on commercial practices.
- Community by facilitating better practice.
Download the following which provide more information on the roles of the above:
Industry has acknowledged supply and demand imbalances since 2005-06 at least, as well as the need for action. Yet, in what is approaching a decade of realisation, the imbalances have failed to resolve.
It’s crunch time for many growers.
Faulty commercial arrangements, stemming from uncritical acceptance of traditional practices, prevent the operation of all-important market signals that enable markets to work at clearing imbalances in supply and demand.
Major faults in accepted commercial arrangements span across many facets of financial operations in winegrape growing businesses
1. The vineyard investment dynamic
- Significant establishment costs and lagged returns act as a barrier to exit during business cycle troughs.
- This factor stands in the way of generational change at the present time when the industry needs to rejuvenate its age demographic.
2. Traditional winegrape price determination practices do not send clear market signals
- Prices are frequently disclosed after a grower has made their investment and therefore their financial commitment to a crop. This includes vineyard management decisions made in response to guidance from wine companies to achieve wine company goals, that are made at cost to the grower.
- Prices are frequently not transparent.
- Prices generally confuse economic determinants of price (supply and demand) with quality determinants by not discriminating between the two.
- Low prices determined purely on supply and demand characteristics may act perversely to the desired quality goals of wine companies through increased vineyard yields that are boosted to maintain profitability on a per hectare basis.
- Despite an abundance of Australian-developed measurements of quality indicators, price determinations based on quality assessments typically lack accountability due to the scarcity or even absence of objective measures that justify price outcomes.
- Prices may be distorted by reference to science where the connection with quality is unsubstantiated.
- Alternatively, prices may allude to scientific objective measures despite there being none in the wine sector that are sanctioned in law as trade measures.
- Prices frequently provide little assurance to growers that their remuneration is fair and reasonable.
- Prices often represent the misuse of market power in the grower/wine company relationship.
- Price outcomes are hard for growers to dispute because of lack of transparency as well as the imbalance of market power between growers and wine companies.
- Prices are evidently used opportunistically by some wine companies to the disadvantage of growers and at the expense of meaningful and mutually rewarding long-term business relationships.
3. Traditional terms of trade for winegrape sales
- Traditional terms of trade typically allow wine companies to hedge their marketing risk by not committing to price signals until up to two weeks before harvest thereby pushing their market risk onto growers who have committed financially to a crop.
- Through three-part payment schedules, legislated in South Australia and adopted in the Wine Industry Code of Conduct, growers effectively act as lenders to wine companies who seek to maintain cash flows while wine matures for sale.
- Terms of trade frequently provide no security for growers’ unpaid winegrape supply when a buyer’s business fails.
- Terms of trade basics are observed to be imperfectly couched in industry contracting practice (reference: http://wgga.com.au/archives/5792).
- The basics of good commercial practice are not supported by the winemaking community as demonstrated by the failure of the larger numbers of winemakers to become signatories to the Wine Industry Code of Conduct.
4. Business decision-making by growers is constrained
- Information from government and industry service bodies is lacking due to contraction of resources.
- The industry’s R&D function is reluctant to support foundation data sets.
- Grower business-skill levels are sub-optimal for modern, competitive growing businesses.
- Many traditional wine company contract and commercial practices do not establish clear market signals (for both supply or desired quality) that encourage supply to meet demand.
- The grower community generally lack skills to market their fruit.
- Many wine companies demonstrate a lack of willingness to partner with growers in value-chain relationships.
Download Faults in Exisiting Industry Commerical Practices (2014)